A Deeper Look Into NBC's Flex Scheduling And Protected NFL Games

Wednesday, November 07, 2007


NBC took its first flex option for Week 11 by adding the Pats and Bills, and some people think it might be a little premature (myself included). I planned on taking a look at other possible games that they could have choosen, but without knowing the protected games of FOX and CBS that would have been pointless. Well know I know and here's what I've come up with.....

Protected Games:

CBS-

Week 12- Broncos-Bears
Week 13- Jaguars-Colts
Week 14- Steelers-Patriots
Week 15- Jaguars-Steelers
Week 16- Texans-Colts

FOX-

Week 11- Giants-Lions
Week 13- Giants-Bears
Week 14- Giants-Eagles
Week 15- Lions-Chargers
Week 16- Packers-Bears

Hmmm, which network do you think did a better job of protecting games? I agree....3 Giants games?!?! That's just dumb. But that's not the dumbest part....by choosing the Pats-Bills game NBC has lost the right to any other Pats game for the season unless they rid themselves of the Pats-Eagles game the following week. Via Sports Business Daily.....

Only three teams can appear as many as six times in primetime -- on NBC, ESPN or NFL Network -- and no team can appear more than four times on NBC. NBC was originally scheduled to air Bears-Seahawks in Week 11, but that game will now be carried on Fox. The Patriots will play their sixth primetime game of the season in Week 17 on NFL Network, meaning if the NFL wanted to put another Patriots game on NBC, Eagles-Patriots would have to be moved off of NBC's schedule.
By picking the Bills-Pats game the only good options that NBC is left with for the rest of the season are the following....

Week 13: Lions-Vikings
Week 16: Redskins-Vikings, Giants-Bills
Week 17: Lions-Packers, Titans-Colts

If they drop the Pats Eagles in Week 12 they could swap it for the Vikings at Giants or Redskins at Bucs, and they'd be left with the following Patriots games to choose from....

Week 14: New York Jets at New England
Week 15: Miami Dolphins at New England

Hmmm.....maybe they made the right choice and it's not so dumb after all.

Posted by Awful Announcing- at 1:40 PM

23 Comments:

NBC had to make a quick decision and they wanted to get on the Pats train. Also NBC probably didnot want to get suck with the Pats-jets or Pats-Dolphins down the road.

Anonymous said...
Nov 7, 2007, 2:04:00 PM  

I think that NBC leaves Week 12, 13 and 14 alone, although they could go and switch Balt/Indy with SD/TENN.

But in Week 16, I think they'll go Houston/Indy instead of TB/SF and in Week 17, they'd take Detroit/GB.

Just my thoughts

John said...
Nov 7, 2007, 2:07:00 PM  

whoops saw they can't take Houston/Indy...well if Cleveland stays in contention, perhaps Cleveland/Cincy...

John said...
Nov 7, 2007, 2:17:00 PM  

What about week 17 Dal/Wash.

Anonymous said...
Nov 7, 2007, 2:57:00 PM  

They kept 3 games that involve a 6-2 team that plays in the biggest TV market in the nation and you think that's dumb?

It's all about the money generated by viewership. Having a good team playing in the NY area will draw viewers in like flys to honey and raise their rates for advertising.

I'm glad you don't run my business.

Anonymous said...
Nov 7, 2007, 3:37:00 PM  

They should definitely do either the Skins/Bucs or Skins/Vikings because the whole world deserves to see how terrible Joe Gibbs runs his offense.

GMoney said...
Nov 7, 2007, 3:41:00 PM  

Dallas has been booked for 6 prime time games already so Dallas/Detroit is out.

Too bad they can't switch the Dallas/GB game to NBC, hell I bet they would even take it on Thursday and bump the Thursday night lineup.

rukrusher said...
Nov 7, 2007, 3:45:00 PM  

I'm glad anon doesn't run MY organization.

Everyone goes with the theory that "New York (and the NFC East in general) get the highest ratings." And yet MNF has submitted to that theory, and their highest-rated MNF game this year is Packers-Broncos.

Higher than the Cowboys
Higher than the Patriots
Higher than New York
Higher than all the other East Coast teams.

You know, TV people keep feeding us the same old bullshit, and IT'S NOT VALID.

Anonymous said...
Nov 7, 2007, 4:10:00 PM  

I would take the NE-NYJ game based soley on the revenge factor. I think people will tune in to see how many points NE puts up on the Jets. I'd say the over under is 63pts.

Anonymous said...
Nov 7, 2007, 4:39:00 PM  

Jesus, by having to declare a Sunday Night "predetermined" game each week, NBC kind of got screwed here.

Steve said...
Nov 7, 2007, 4:48:00 PM  

How about Kansas City-Detroit in week 16?

keyser soze said...
Nov 7, 2007, 6:48:00 PM  

I'm glad the second anon doesn't run MY organization.

Comparing ESPN to networks not considered cable only? Let's compare apples to oranges. ESPN has to submit to a different theory because there are parts of NYC that still don't have cable available. Why do you think every time the Giants and Jets are on ESPN, they're also on the local TV networks in the NYC area?

Talk about feeding people BS, get your story correct and support it with comparable facts. Not the ones with an ESPN logo on them.

Anonymous said...
Nov 7, 2007, 8:28:00 PM  

"Stuck" with Pats/Jets?!? Am I the only one who thinks that the only Patriots regular season worth watching for the rest of the year is the Jets game?

Comptetitive? Hell No!! But it'll be fun to watch the Pats hang triple digits on the scoreboard. And even with the blowout, absolutly noone will tune out early, because they want to see Belicheck cold-cock Mangino at midfield after the game.

BF said...
Nov 7, 2007, 9:21:00 PM  

Q - What is the largest sports television market ?
A - New York, of course

Why protect 3 straight games involving a 6-2, likely playoff team, in the largest sports television market in the country ?

Hmmm, to get good ratings !!! Now that's just not dumb.

Anonymous said...
Nov 7, 2007, 11:40:00 PM  

I'd like to see a couple of tennesse games get switched at the least pick up the colts and titans that series had ahd a few good games the last couple of times

Anonymous said...
Nov 8, 2007, 12:11:00 AM  

Just don't tell me that New York games and the NFC East in general don't get higher ratings than the rest of the games.

And if they're not getting higher ratings than other teams, then maybe the other teams should be shown too.

They just say that "New York gets higher ratings," and NOBODY CHALLENGES IT. How do we know that New York and the Cowboys and the Patriots get the highest ratings? Because they said so? And yet Brett Favre got higher ratings than all of them?

Their "research" is a bunch of myopic bullshit. I guaran-fucking-tee you, if ESPN shoved the Tennessee Titans down our throats as much as they shove the Giants and Cowboys down our throat, they'd get amazing ratings too. If they led SportsCenter with Vince Young press conferences like they do with Michael Strahan and Terrell Owens, people would care.

They wouldn't have a choice.

Anonymous said...
Nov 8, 2007, 10:00:00 AM  

One of the lowest rated World Series in recent years was the Mets-Yankees in '01? So you cannot assume big markets bring big ratings. Remember- the Colts-Pats game did a 22. Yes it had a big market in Boston, but the last time I checked, Indianapolis was one of the SMALLEST NFL markets.

Glad YOU don't run MY business

Anonymous said...
Nov 8, 2007, 10:02:00 AM  

Look I can understand a Division game like NY-PHI getting good ratings, but you're crazy if you think the Giants-Bears game is going to get any ratings at all.

Sure you get the numbers in New York, but what about the rest of the country. FOX making that the top game is just dumb. Detroit-Minnesota has a much better story line in my opinion.

There's a reason CBS is killing them this season and it's not just because they have the AFC.

Nov 8, 2007, 10:35:00 AM  

If FOX and CBS have to give their protect list by week four, as I understand the rule to be, the Giants were 2-2 when those protections were made.

Why wouldn't FOX protect its only late season Patriots game? I know, the Eagles are slumping this year (and were 1-3 when the protect lists came out), but with no Colts games available for them, you'd think FOX would want to retain their only Patriots game. I guess not...

Draft King said...
Nov 8, 2007, 3:44:00 PM  

The only *remaining* Patriots game, that is. FOX already showed a game between the Redskins and Pats a few weeks ago.

Anonymous said...
Nov 8, 2007, 5:43:00 PM  

Wasn't Eagles-Patriots already scheduled to be on Sunday night? Nothing to protect - but I agree that they did a terrible job of picking games.

Anonymous said...
Nov 8, 2007, 6:24:00 PM  

I'd bet everything i had on lions-packers being the week 17 nbc game. John Madden has a say on what goes on, and he wants Brett Favre more than anything else. Now is there anything regarding that division opponents cannot have both games on national TV, because the lions and packers are playing Thanksgiving day. I've just never remembered a division opponents playing each other on national TV both times in a regular season.

Anonymous said...
Nov 9, 2007, 7:21:00 PM  

For week 13 I'd like to see either Houston at Tennessee or Cleveland at Arizona. Both of those games have big implications for the playoff races at the moment and those are the kind of games we need each week on NBC. Week 14 I'd like to see either San Diego at Tennessee or Arizona at Seattle(potentially important NFC West game). Tampa Bay at Houston wouldn't be bad either. Week 15 I'd like to see NBC keep Washington at NY Giants or perhaps flex over Buffalo at Cleveland. Remember that cold weather games in outdoor stadiums, late in the season have great appeal. Week 16 will be changed and I'd like to see the matchup on NBC be Kansas City at Detroit or Baltimore at Seattle. And lastly for week 17, the NBC game needs to be Tennessee at Indy, but it surely could be my Pack hosting the Lions. A Buffalo at Philly matchup could also be a very important game by that time as well. Time will tell since I write this just after week 11 has ended. The week 17 game on NBC will NOT be Kansas City at NY Jets. Based on last year with those teams being the Wild Cards from the AFC, I could see NBC thinking that game would matter. If I was a head of ESPN and was picking my games for Monday Night Football, I'd think outside of the box some when it came to MNF games. Usually there's plenty of change when it comes to playoff teams each year in the NFL and I'd pick games that appear to be horrible before the season, that I think would turn into real winners before the season comes to an end. I am really glad ESPN picked that Dallas at Buffalo game for MNF this year and it was the best(and weirdest) game of the year and proved that not all expected blowouts will be just that and that the games aren't played on paper, but on the field. ;)

Anonymous said...
Nov 20, 2007, 2:19:00 AM  

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